Rabu, 17 Juli 2013
Aplikasi Peramalan Metode Time Series Dalam Perencanaan Kapasitas Produksi di PT.KAROMAH JLN. SIMOREJO B-SURABAYA
PT Karomah is a company that produces some the household such as broom “Naga Timur”. Each company before making the production process at least doing planning and production control with Forecasting (forcasting). It aims to determine the amount of demand for a product and the first step of the planning and production control. One of models in the forecasting a model time series (time series). Time series method is a method that assumes that past sales patterns are used as the basis to forecast future sales. Using data company history. Some methods used are Simple Average, Moving Average and Exsponential Smoothing. By using misrosoft excel and software WINQSB best method is obtained Moving Average Method (6 months) with the smallest error MSE = 11.87169 so forecasting method performed by the method of moving averages (6 months) for the next 6 months should produce broom "Naga Timur "± 97.5 or ± 98 dozens / month... ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Selanjutnya silahkan download peapernya
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